Thursday, February 19, 2009

Karen should be as brave and no-nonsense a leader as Sri Mulyani

0 comments
Wednesday, February 11, 2009 Vincent Lingga, The Jakarta Post, Jakarta

Only time will tell whether the government is really serious about reforming Pertamina by giving its new CEO Karen Agustiawan full mandate to run the country's largest state company.
But it is good to know that Karen herself has pledged from the outset of her tenure she will reject, at any cost, any undue political intervention that could harm the US$28 billion oil firm.

This means the 50-year-old oil mining technology expert could choose to resign from her post rather than succumb to meddling from vested interest groups and rent seekers within the government and political parties.

But that is much easier said than done.

Karen must be as brave and no-nonsense a leader as Finance Minister Sri Mulyani Indrawati, "the Iron Lady" who has launched a big-bang reform to remove leeches from the customs and taxation offices, long perceived to be one of the most corrupt public institutions in Indonesia.

Political intervention and corruption and collusive practices by rent-seekers who want to make Pertamina their cash cow have always been among the oil company's biggest enemies, even after the fall of Soeharto's authoritarian government in May 1998.

In fact, Karen's appointment last Thursday to abruptly replace Ari Soemarno, who had only been at Pertamina's helm for less than three years, was not free from political meddling, as Sofyan Djalil, the minister of state enterprises, himself admitted that Soemarno's firing had nothing to do with his performance.

Soemarno, the fifth CEO at Pertamina in the past 10 years, had brought about significant improvement in the corruption-riddled domestic and foreign logistics departments of the company's upstream and downstream oil operations.

But he ran into bad luck.

He incited President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono's ire, after temporary shortages, though not pervasive, of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) and gasoline in several areas over the past few months occurred at a time when long lines of people at gasoline stations were scenes mostly despised by a president facing an election.

Judging from her decades of experiences working at Mobil Oil (now ExxonMobil) and the Halliburton oil service company, Karen seems to possess the basic character of a person able to stand up against undue intervention, even at the cost of her highly rewarding, yet "hot" corporate position.

Her high technical competence and integrity gives her the advantage of being able to forfeit her corporate position, instead of compromising on good corporate governance principles.
Karen rightly listed securing smooth distribution of fuel and LPG and further development of upstream operations as her top priority programs.

Downstream operations, notably domestic fuel marketing, are a piece of cake. Despite the liberalization of the oil industry and market, Pertamina still virtually holds a monopoly over the downstream operations, due to the advantages of the nationwide network of storage, haulage and refining facilities it has developed over the past five decades.

However, as Soemarno's bitter experiences have shown, fuel distribution is so socially and politically sensitive that it can make or break the career of the Pertamina chief.

The government seemed to pin high hopes on Karen to bolster Pertamina's upstream operations as the state company remains a small player with a daily output of 150,000 barrels, or just around 15 percent of the national production.

The rationale is that Pertamina's survival as a commercially viable company depends largely on its upstream operations, because oil refining and distribution generate only very thin profit margins.

However, increasing oil production is not only a highly risky business that needs a lot of investment and high technology, but also has a long payback period because the time lag between exploration and production, if any commercially feasible volume of oil reserves can be discovered, often takes more than five years.

Hence, as higher oil output was set as one of the key parameters to assess Karen's performance, she and her board of directors should be given a secured term of office at least of five years.

But a secured term of office will not mean much if the cash-strapped government continues squeezing Pertamina by demanding an annual dividend payout of more than 50 percent, as it did over the past few years.

Dividend payouts of more than 30 percent will adversely affect Pertamina's capacity to finance upstream operations.

Unless there is real commitment by the government to give a full mandate to Karen, then all the talk of transforming Pertamina into an internationally competitive oil company like Malaysia's state-owned Petronas is only hot air and Karen's tenure will simply depend on the outcome of the upcoming presidential election.
Read full post »

Tax cuts the most sensible component of the stimulus package

0 comments
Monday, February 02, 2009 Vincent Lingga, The Jakarta Post, Jakarta

Of all components of the Rp 71.3 trillion (US$6.5 billion) fiscal stimulus package Finance Minister Sri Mulyani Indrawati reported to the parliament last week, tax cuts and waiving of payroll taxes make the most sense as long as they are designed for those who will most likely spend, rather than, save.

Different from the other component of the stimulus-the Rp 10.2 trillion in additional infrastructure spending, which will take far longer to implement as the tendering process alone sometimes takes as long as one or two months - tax cuts can be put to work within weeks.
Their effects also can percolate into the economy much quicker.


Many businesses may not realize it and those that are aware of it may be reluctant about acknowledging that they are actually enjoying the fiscal stimulus in the form of tax cuts resulting from the enforcement of the 2008 Income Tax Law starting last month.

In fact, I assume the Rp 43 trillion (US$3.6 billion) in tax savings, or 60 percent of the Rp 71.3 trillion pump priming package, will be derived from tax cuts brought about by the new income tax law throughout this year.

The new income tax law reduces tax rates for individuals from five to four layers, with the highest level down from 35 percent to 30 percent, and sets a flat rate of 28 percent for businesses for 2009 and 25 percent in subsequent years, down from the highest rate of 30 percent under the old law.

The new law also increases tax allowances for low-income earners by more than 15 percent by raising the maximum income exempted from tax from Rp 13.2 million to Rp 15.8 million a year for a single taxpayer and from Rp 18 million to Rp 21.04 million a year for a married taxpayer.


The tax cuts resulting from the new income tax law take effect immediately and permanently because they apply to each additional rupiah of income that an individual or company earns.

Likewise, the Rp 6.5 trillion in waived payroll taxes to be provided also as part of the Rp 71.3 trillion stimulus will help bolster businesses as they will inject more income into the corporate system by reducing the employer contribution to employees' income taxes.


These payroll tax cuts and the other Rp 6 trillion-worth of waived value-added taxes and import duties to be granted to selected businesses will immediately cut the operating or production costs of enterprises and increase their income.

Further down the road, the cost of labor will decline, thereby encouraging hiring, and profits will encourage businesses to expand.

Unfortunately, as Sri Mulyani said last Wednesday, her ministry was still working on the technical details over which companies in which sectors will be eligible for the Rp 6.5 trillion cuts in payroll taxes and the Rp 6 trillion in waived value-added taxes and import duties on basic materials and capital goods.

It is regrettable, though, as to why the distribution mechanism for the payroll tax cuts and import duty relief has not yet been set up, whereas the government has been talking about the stimulus package since last October.


The finance minister demonstrated the government's full understanding of the uphill challenges the economy is facing when she said after the House's approval of the 2009 state budget last October that the stimulus would be extended in the form of tax cuts and import duty relief and much bigger spending on basic infrastructure and poverty alleviation programs.

Put briefly, the stimulus is rightly designed to increase people's purchasing power and the competitiveness of businesses facing the economic downturn.


All this is needed because the global downturn is adversely affecting Indonesia's economy on all fronts, from slumping demand for exports and slowing down flows of investment, to weakening consumer purchasing power.


The government pump priming, therefore, would take up the slack, otherwise private investment and the economy as a whole will plunge even more.

But almost four months later, the operational mechanism of the stimulus package remains on the drawing board. What a sense of urgency to cope with the sharp global downturn that is already hitting hard on our economy!
Read full post »
 

Copyright © Vincent Lingga - Opinion Column