Wednesday, October 15, 2008

Special Report: Lessons from Citibank Indonesia: Customers get burned

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Vincent Lingga , The Jakarta Post Wed, 10/15/2008 10:27 AM Headlines

Citbank Indonesia customers that lost a lot -- in my case, most of my savings -- after the collapse of American investment bank Lehman Brothers last month need not be ashamed of admitting how low and utterly poor their financial literacy turned out to be.

Many investors in Hong Kong vowed last week to fight for a full refund of their Lehman products, alleging that the banks who sold them the investment instruments had not fully explained the risks associated with the financial derivatives.

In the current era of globalized financial markets, it is almost impossible for us, including me, an economics reporter for the last three decades, to have the financial literacy necessary to understand complex investment securities like the Lehman's market-linked notes peddled by Citibank Indonesia.

Robert Reich, a former U.S. secretary of labor and now an economic advisor to presidential candidate Senator Barack Obama, recently wrote in the International Herald Tribune about the U.S. financial crisis "I once asked a hedge fund manager to describe the assets in his fund. He laughed and said he had no idea."

Financial markets trade in promises that assets have a certain value. With so many derivatives in world financial markets, there is virtually no limit to what can be promised.
I, along with other Citigold customers I talked to, painfully realized only recently we had no idea what we bought in mid-2007 through our Citigold executives.

In another shocking information sheet sent one week after Lehman went bankrupt, Citibank revealed that the holders of Lehman notes in Indonesia were unsecured creditors.

For many banks, private banking or wealth-management services have become a significant source of fee-based incomes. But as it now turns out, such services have become wealth-destruction centers for a number of Citigold clients due to the unprecedented pace in which the U.S. financial crisis turned into a crash.

Hence, the first lesson from the debacle of the Citigold customers is don't ever touch offshore, sophisticated investment securities. There are now so many derivatives, hedge funds, structured vehicles and swaps offered on the international market.

We are glad to know, though, that after several days of denial, both Bank Indonesia and the capital market watchdog (Bapepam) late last month said they were preparing regulations on the trading of offshore investment securities to protect consumers.

"We should have set up an oversight mechanism years ago," Bank Indonesia's Deputy Governor Muliaman Hadad said Sept. 26, as quoted by newspapers.
Singapore is doing the same.

According to the Straits Times on Oct 3., the Monetary Authority of Singapore will soon review the way structured investment products are marketed to retail investors as thousands of investors in Lehman Brothers products stand to lose most of their money.

Lacking adequate oversight of offshore investment securities sales in Indonesia puts many consumers, notably big depositors, at a high risk of big losses.

The second lesson is don't ever rely your investment decisions on the offers, recommendations or information given even by such highly reputed financial institutions as Citibank Indonesia and its Citigold wealth-management centers.

In so far as the risks of your investment are concerned Citigold executives mean nothing for you. They work primarily to massage the ego of big depositors to keep their accounts at the bank.
Relationship managers at Citigold could simply overlook their clients' risk profile, caring more about their annual sales bonuses.

The third lesson is read carefully each word of any investment contract documents given by Citigold staff with the assistance of a respected lawyer before you sign them.
It was stupid and careless of me (and many other victims) to only skim my investment subscription form, signing the 11-page document in good faith, trusting Citibank's competence and reputation.

Most of the clauses in my contract turned out to have been designed to protect Citibank as the seller and its employees, and for them to avoid any fiduciary responsibility for the investment products they peddled.

I, quite painfully, only discovered three weeks ago that one of the clauses states, "I/We (investors) did not obtain any legal, tax or accounting advice or advice in relation to the suitability or profitability of any Notes from Citibank N.A or Citigroup or any of their employees. I/We made My/Our own judgment and decision regarding the transaction independently."

Although I knew about Lehman market-linked notes only from the sales offer and the scant information provided to me by my Citigold relationship manager, I signed in the subscription document of never having obtained advice or information from Citibank or its employees regarding the notes.

Was this the way of selling financial products in good faith?

On Sept. 26, or around 15 months after I signed my investment order and ten days after Lehman went bankrupt, Citibank sent me the final terms on the Lehman notes dated July 4, 2007, contained in a 22-page English document.

The first page of this document, among others, states, "These notes are only suitable for highly sophisticated investors who are able to determine themselves the risk of an investment linked to an index."

I wondered why I was never given this document before.
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Herd mentality, short-term vision grip our stock market

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Vincent Lingga, The Jakarta Post, Jakarta Thurs, 10/9/2008

The capital market management and regulator made the right decision Wednesday to halt share trading here after the benchmark index plunged by another 10 percent to close at 1,451 points, because that development was indeed rooted in an irrational market mechanism.

Letting the stock market (IDX) continue operating in such a chaotic situation would be like allowing a few rice sellers to freely set the price of the staple amid a massive, nationwide famine.

Stocks in such blue-chip companies as telecommunications firm Indosat, coal producer Adaro and automobile and plantations group Astra International should not have plunged between 19 and 23 percent Wednesday, had it not been for a herd mentality on the part of domestic retail and institutional investors.

The long-term outlook for telecommunications and our natural-resource-based companies remains bright and promising. Even though the prices of most primary commodities such as coal, palm oil and rubber have of late fallen steeply, they remain way above their 2006 levels.
The recent downward trend was even good for long-term stability, because the skyrocketing prices during the first semester were partly fueled by speculative sentiment. These prices are now seeking a new equilibrium.

Our domestic investor base should have been broad and diverse enough to shield the IDX from the abrupt changes in international investor sentiment.

The growing role of domestic institutional investors such as pensions funds, mutual funds and insurance companies should have contributed to broadening and diversifying the pool of investment in equities.

The long-term horizon of these institutional investors should have played a stabilizing role in our stock market. Basically, a diverse investor base, in relation to investment horizons and risk appetite, can contribute to financial stability by spreading risks more widely.

But as Wednesday's irrational market development showed, most domestic investor behavior was still controlled by a herd mentality, toeing the move of foreign portfolio investors.
What are the main determinants of share prices?

One of them is global factors, such as international liquidity and credit and market risk premiums. True, these factors are now all negative, as the impact of the financial crisis and panic in the United States and Europe sets in.

However, the strongest determinants of our equity prices -- the domestic or fundamental factors such as economic growth, the differential between domestic and global interest rates, the expected forward exchange rate, the inflation differentials -- remain fairly positive.

In fact, after Bank Indonesia's move on Tuesday to raise its benchmark interest rate by another 25 basis points to 9.50 percent, our interest rate differential with the U.S. Fed funds became 8 percentage points.

I don't think the amount of foreign portfolio money still playing in our stock market remained at such a level because it was still able to heavily influence the market trend.

Most of this hot money had flown out a few weeks ago as these skittish investors became highly risk-averse and tended to generalize things.

The steep fall in our stock market Wednesday was therefore exacerbated by the herd mentality and short-term-oriented stance not only of our individual (retail) but also institutional investors.

Hence, as BI Governor Boediono and chief economics minister Sri Mulyani Indrawati said Sunday, if we really care about protecting our own house from the fallout of the international financial crisis, then we all, in our respective roles, should help contribute to maintain calm.

This calls for domestic retail and institutional investors to get rid of their herd mentality and adopt a more long-term view in order to contribute to building up a financially stable base for our equity market.
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Wednesday, October 08, 2008

Audits could curb illegal logging

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Vincent Lingga , Jakarta Tue, 10/07/2008 9:58 AM Opinion

The Indonesian Forestry Ministry's bold move to require forestry companies to have their wood stocks audited throughout the supply chain to ensure the wood is derived from sustainably managed forests could go a long way in reducing illegal logging in the country.

Hadi Pasaribu, the Forestry Ministry's director general for the management of forestry production, who revealed the new policy recently, did not elaborate as to when the audit -- internationally known as forest certification scheme -- would be mandatory for wood-based companies.

But surely the new measure needs thorough preparation because the audit or certification process requires independent certifiers who must be accredited according to the international standards as those applied by the Bonn-based Forest Stewardship Council.

It is international market forces (consumers and traders) united into a global green consumer campaign that have forced wood-based companies to have their wood certified as green by independent certifying companies.

Hence, whatever the system used by the Forestry Ministry for the wood audit, an inspection or certification scheme, it must be based on international standards to gain international recognition.

Wood audit for forest certification aims at verifying that a particular wood is derived from sustainably managed forests. This process requires companies in the whole wood supply chain to hold chain-of-custody certificates so that the label or bar-code can follow the word from the forests to the finished product.

The chain of custody itself is the process of wood harvesting, primary and secondary processing, manufacturing, distribution and sales. The wood audit, as referred to by Pasaribu, inspects each of these processing steps to ensure that the timber or wood originated from forests which are being managed in accordance with social, environmental and economic aspects of sustainable forest management.

Hence, for example, a buyer of a wood cupboard from a furniture store in Denmark which sells certified green products is able to ascertain that the product he or she is purchasing was made from timber derived from sustainably managed forests in a particular area in a specified country.

The current wood or timber inspection carried out by the Forestry Industry Revitalization Agency, besides being ineffective and vulnerable to corruption and abuse, inspects only legal documents from forestry offices which can easily be forged or falsified.

No wonder Indonesia is on the losing side in a battle against illegal logging, despite an intense crackdown by authorities.

The government has enacted laws on environmental protection and has issued myriads of regulations and rulings to protect forests and erected non-tariff barriers to prevent the trading of illegally-cut wood.

However, illegal logging continues on a massive scale.
But the new wood audit scheme, called Wood Legality Verification System, will involve independent certifiers such as environmental NGOs which have been accredited to conduct such certification, according to Pasaribu.


Since forest certification involves the employment of multidisciplinary teams consisting of various specialists such as forest engineers, ecologists and sociologists to evaluate the various aspects of forest management, the audit or certification process could be quite costly.

Therefore market incentives are necessary to make wood audit or forest certification attractive to wood-based companies. Certainly, the best incentives are premium prices paid to wood products derived from certified forests.

Even though premium prices gained by certified wood today do not seem to be high enough to spark a rush by wood companies to certify, neither the government nor companies can wait much longer.

Market forces have become much stronger now and can force companies to certify the origin of the wood they use. Five European Union governments, including Britain's, have adopted procurement policies that would oblige state-funded construction projects to use certified wood.

Certainly, countries cannot demand that all wood entering their territories be certified, since that would break the rules of the World Trade Organization. But more consumer organizations, especially in major developed countries, have pressured suppliers of wooden products to certify, otherwise they will face massive boycotts.

The concept of forest certification thus uses market forces to curb illegal logging through demand-side and supply-side approaches, mobilizing consumers and traders to shun forest products that are not certified according to internationally recognized standards of sustainable forest management.

Such threats of boycott from powerful consumer organizations and environmental NGOs could force forest-based companies (producers) to have their operations and products certified by accredited, independent forest certifying bodies.
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OECD growth ideas and our national remedies

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Thursday, July 31, 2008 Vincent Lingga, The Jakarta Post, Jakarta

Some analysts and many politicians in Parliament may reject the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) economic policy recommendations for the Indonesian government last week as another one-size-fits-all formula, simply a copy of the "infamous" list of dos and don'ts within the Washington consensus on the virtues of liberalization, deregulation, privatization and free markets.

Even without the upcoming parliamentary and presidential elections next year, the OECD reform recommendations -- which include a further easing of restrictions on foreign investment, further market liberalization, more flexible labor regulations to make it easier for companies to lay off workers, and privatization of state companies -- have always been difficult.

The tone and central theme of the first Economic Assessment of Indonesia by the Paris-based OECD feel very much like the annual report on the Indonesian economy the World Bank used to prepare for the now defunct Consultative Group on Indonesia creditor consortium.

The OECD study seems still too focused on the common formulae and strategy across widely differing developing country conditions, acutely short of country and context-specific solutions.
Having said all that, this doesn't mean the OECD policy options, including those on the need for bigger investment in infrastructure, health and education, are irrelevant to our economy.
On the contrary, evidence has shown that successful economies -- those which are able to post high growth for a long period -- have pursued almost all the policies recommended by the OECD.
They have by and large been implemented by such successful emerging economies as South Korea, China, Thailand, Singapore, Malaysia, Vietnam, India and, to a certain extent, even Indonesia.


These successful economies have many things in common: macroeconomic stability, fiscal discipline, fairly effective government, market-based incentives, adequate investment in infrastructure, health and education and engagement with the global economy.

The main issue for our government is how to sequence and set priorities of the needed reforms so as to make them economically feasible and socially and politically acceptable.
The biggest challenge for the government is to focus on narrowly targeted reforms, proceeding step by step, to discover local solutions.


Several economists cited the gradual reform approach launched by China's Deng Xiaoping in 1978 -- crossing the river by feeling for the stones -- which created the most spectacular period of steady, high economic growth and poverty reduction.

It is the job of both the government and Parliament to devise the right recipe, the right growth concept and strategy most suitable to our economic condition and political complications, using the policy recommendations of the OECD only as the ingredients.

Take for example the recommendation for the easing of labor regulations, one of the reform measures all foreign investors have asked for since 2003 because the labor code has been seen as too rigid, hindering new investment and consequently job creation.

In the absence of an adequate social safety net and unemployment insurance system, however, the government should tread carefully in easing the labor regulations, otherwise the pace of job destruction will exceed job creation.

The gradual reform of the labor code should be designed, however, to protect people, not jobs. This requires measures to make it easier for workers to acquire new skills and enter new trades.
Put another way, labor reform should include programs designed to increase labor mobility across the various sectors of the economy. Most important is that the necessary rules and institutions are well placed to safeguard the basic rights of labor and defend workers against exploitation, abuse, underage employment and unsafe working conditions.

Likewise, the OECD view on the importance of foreign direct investment (FDI) is quite legitimate. An adequate inflow of FDI is vital not only because of the financial capital it brings but, sometimes more important, the concurrent transfer of skills, innovation and ideas to the national economy. FDI brings in knowledge about foreign production techniques, foreign markets and international supply chains.

Just look how our banking industry as a whole has benefited from local bankers who once worked for foreign banks such as Citibank, Standard Chartered, ABN Amro, HSBC, etc.

Then again, the main challenge here is how to strike the right balance between national interests and the need for foreign capital and expertise and for the exposure of national businesses to international competition. The government needs to put the demand it puts on foreign investors in balance with the alternatives provided by other countries competing for foreign capital and expertise.
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